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Weekly review | Trump’s Tariff Impact, Deficit Spending Crisis

In our Q1 global economic forecast, we predicted a Trump victory in the 2024 election, anticipating he would implement a universal tariff on imports. This move is expected to drive up U.S. consumer prices and complicate the Federal Reserve's efforts to control inflation. Our Q2 forecast includes potential retaliations from China and the EU, which could further impact U.S. inflation and GDP growth. If Biden wins, we expect more targeted tariffs, resulting in lower inflation and more Fed rate cuts. Both candidates' protectionist policies suggest continued inflationary pressures and potential economic slowdown.

Navigation in the guide

1. Time Frames: How Can We Avoid Losing Sight of the Bigger Picture? 2. Technical Indicators: When Do They Help, and When Do They Harm? 3. Trend Channels: How to Track Price Movement? 4. Support and Resistance: Where Does the Price Most Often React? 5. Market Structure: How to Identify the Market Trend? 6. Candlestick Charts: What Does a Single Candlestick Reveal? 7. Market Anatomy: Where Do Real Opportunities Arise? 8. Trading vs. Investing: How Do These Approaches Differ? 9. Choosing a Broker: How to Find a Reliable Partner? 10. Order Types: How to Enter the Market Technically and Effectively? 11. Trader's Glossary: Which Terms Do You Need to Understand? 12. Market Participants: Who Are the Major Players, and What Is Your Role?
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Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of rapid financial loss due to leverage. 78.70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.